斯特凡 · 雅各比說的混合解決方案都有可能在未來 15 年內實現重大銷售的唯一替代動力總成。純電動汽車不會成為主流的賣家在未來 15 年內,根據前沃爾沃老闆斯特凡 · 雅各比。 Jacoby在去年年底離開沃爾沃,目前正在汽車領域尋找其他機會,但我認為他們在可預見的未來沒有得到主流的應用。 原因很清楚:價格,電池失去充電能力的不確定性,以及對一輛能讓你被困在交通中的汽車和 40 度高溫的汽車產生情感的不信任感,都是問題。 當你的手機耗盡充電時你的感覺是什麼 -- 坐在汽車裡的坐在汽車裡的感覺會更糟。 Jacoby 補充說,日產 Leaf 等電動汽車很可能只會在社會的利基領域中蓬勃發展。 一些國家採取了積極的態度,立法意味著某些利基應用將會起飛,比如與短距離的計程車一樣,但整體而言,我不相信電動汽車在未來 10-15 年將會有什麼作用。 相反,我相信混合動力汽車以不同形式主宰。 今天,一個 89g/km 的汽車是一個現實,沒有太多的援助,甚至五年前就已經被認為是不可能的。 行業正在推動價格實惠和方便的改進,這就是我如何看到電動汽車發展的未來。 Stefan Jacoby says hybrid solutions are the only alternative powertrain likely to achieve significant sales in the next 15 years. Pure electric vehicles will not become mainstream sellers within the next 15 years, according to former Volvo boss Stefan Jacoby. I have made myself unpopular before by saying this, but I do not believe they have a mainstream application in the foreseeable future, said Jacoby, who left Volvo late last year and is currently pursuing other opportunities in the automotive sector. The reasons are clear: the price, the uncertainty of what happens to the batteries as they lose charge-holding capacity and the emotional distrust of a car that can leave you stranded on a highway in traffic and 40-degree heat are all problems. Think how you feel when your mobile phone runs out of charge and theres nothing you can do – the feeling of sitting in a car that has run out of charge would be much worse. Jacoby added that electric cars, such as the Nissan Leaf, would likely only thrive in niche areas of society. Some countries have adopted them energetically, and legislation means that some niche applications will take off, such as with short distance taxis, but overall I do not believe electric vehicles will have a role in the next 10-15 years. Instead, I believe well see hybrid vehicles dominating in different forms. Today an 89g/km car is a reality without much assistance, and that would have been thought impossible even five years ago. The industry is pushing improvements that are affordable and convenient, and that is how I see the future of electric cars developing.