Thread: David Smiths osem boj-pripravljen možnosti

David Smith osem boj-pripravljen možnosti Motorsports Analytics pokvari, ki bi gledal
Ponedeljek in torek noči Speedweeks so bili običajno vsakdanje. Sveže off Sprint neomejeno, dirka, ki je hitro postala mora-watch sojenja ogenj dogodka, so naši sokovi teče za več dirke, več ukrepov in več talking točke na tisto, kar služi kot odpiranja teden vsake nove dirke sezone. Dirke, ki smo hrepenijo, in do zdaj ni bilo nary primeren tečaj.
UNOH bitka na plaži spremeni vse to. Tri-race showcase tri glavne regionalne serije – NASCAR K & N Pro Series (vzhod in zahod), NASCAR Whelen spremenil in Whelen južni spremenil ture in NASCAR Whelen All-American serije – je dogodek, ki vam omogoča, da se seznanijo z nekaterimi top obeti v NASCAR razvojnega ladder. Barva mi je navdušeni opazovalec.
NASCAR je bil milostiv dovolj zaprositi mi prispevati analiz za nekatere od teh festivalska tekmovalce. To je nekako moja stvar. Na svoj dom stran, MotorsportsAnalytics.com, sem skavt, crunch številke, analizirati in ustrezno mesto. Ustanovna izdaja UNOH bitke na plaži je sestavljena iz več imen na seznamu Top 25 serije NASCAR Sprint Cup možnosti. I mesto na osnovi Cup serije pripravljenost na formulo imenujemo "Ocena možnosti." Ocenim tudi voznika proizvodnje preko metriko, imenovane PEER proizvodnje v enako opremo Rating. Kdaj spraševali, kako bi ocenili voznik če vsa oprema je enaka? Čudno ni več, ker ste got si pokril.
Ta poseben seznam je sestavljen iz kaj sem zdi "Battle Ready" možnosti. Ti mladi vozniki so vaše najboljše potencialne kandidatke zmago za svoje posamezne dogodke Battle. In če jih ne zmagati najbolj gledal in celovito pokriti svoje kariere do danes, je v redu. Ti fantje so veliko drugi pohval na katerem pade nazaj. Kaj se lahko zgodi z velikostjo vzorca eno dirko; Ti gonilniki lahko šteje, da se uspešno čez celo sezono:
Corey LaJoie21, Concord, NC
Na progi: NASCAR K & N Pro Series (torek)
2012 Uvrstit in priznanja: uvrščen 1. v K & N vzhod (4.607 PEER); 11. splošno... K & N Marsens seštevku runner-up; pet zmag
Analiza: Bodisi oblečen thrash na dirkači ali navdušil s svojo "po meri" Chuck Taylor superge, LaJoie ne pričarajo ki Plahovit Racer, vendar, oh, da bi bilo napačno. Verjetno najboljše pnevmatike in oprema konzervans v K & N vzhodu zadnjih dveh zadnjih sezonah LaJoie mojstrsko, petimi zmagami na delček njegove konkurence proračunov. Njegov PEER – 4.607 – je najboljši v K & N vzhodu v zadnjih dveh sezonah, in bolje kot Joey Logano znamke od leta 2007 (4.462). On je proizvodni delavec in dirke učenec, katerih prizadevanja za izboljšanje kot dirkač je sorta Keselowski.
Kjer boste videli mu naslednji: LaJoie ima tri - štiri race schedule nastavite s Tommy Baldwin dirke v seriji NASCAR Nationwide letos.
Kyle Larson20, Elk Grove, Kalifornija
Na progi: NASCAR Whelen All-American serije (ponedeljek); NASCAR K & N Pro Series in NASCAR Whelen spremenil Tour (torek)
2012 Uvrstit in priznanja: razvrščeni 2 nd v K & N vzhod (4.500 PEER); 12. splošno... Prvak v K & N vzhodu; dve zmagi
Analiza: Vsakega posameznika na tem seznamu, Larson ima večina navzgor. 2012 K & N vzhoda naslova v osvojil svojo prvo leto dejanske Stock Car racing, feat, ki bo nedvomno postali bolj podcenjene kot njegovi dosežki v karieri kopičijo. Skok iz Sprint avto pritlikavec pozno model na zalogi avto in imajo takojšen uspeh v vsaki, kot počne, ni naučil lastnost. Je kot naravno nadarjen kot vsak voznik od Tony Stewart. Njegovo omejeno dirke NASCAR kamp World Truck Series lani pokazala nekaj gube, ki jih je treba zlikane; njegov ritem mora vreti podolgovate dirke-on se uporablja za zunanja oblika avto Sprint Črtkan slog – in njegov prelaz setup strjena lava raba neki poliranje, ampak s svojo nadarjenost, so zgolj nits izstopanja. Kmalu, on bo na televizijskih sprejemnikih vsako nedeljo v prihodnjih letih.
Kjer boste videli mu naslednje: razvoj voznik Earnhardt Ganassi dirke bo potegoval za Rookie of the Year časti v Nationwide Series za Turner Scott Motorsports.
Dylan Kwasniewski17, Las Vegas, Nev.
Na progi: NASCAR K & N Pro Series (torek)
2012 Uvrstit in priznanja: 1. v K & N zahod (5.233 PEER), 16 th skupni postavljen... Prvak v K & N West; tri zmage
Analiza: West Coast park avto fans spraševali, kaj bi bilo potrebno iztiril Greg Pursley šest-win tovorni vlak 2011 od njene pričakovane prevlade v 2012. Kot se izkaže, odgovor je bil Kwasniewski, nadarjeni najstnik iz istega gena cena Motorsports stabilne kot Pursley, ki v povprečju za 3,8 konča na 15 tekmah lansko sezono. Kwasniewski ujeli K & N zahod krono v akcijo, ki je pokazala bistveno izboljšanje – od 2.885 PEER, ki je uvrščen 15. v seriji 2011 5.233 lansko leto, ki je vodil oddelek- in zdaj, on je vodil proti vzhodu.
Kjer boste videli mu naslednji: bitka je svojo prvo dirko vožnje za Turner Scott Motorsports, ekipa, ki je boste vožnjo v 2013 K & N vzhodne divizije.
Bryan Ortiz24, Bayamon, PR
Na progi: NASCAR K & N Pro Series (torek)
2012 Uvrstit in priznanja: postavljen desetega v K & N vzhod (1.964 PEER), 40. splošno... K & N vzhodni točki seštevku peti kraja finišer
Analiza: Ni to pogosto NASCAR začetnik je to dober to kmalu. Nekdanji kart dirkač, Ortiz je bil konkurent Grand-Am športni avto preden se je pridružil čine Stock Car, v katerem mestu svoje novinec sezone lani, je vezano za delitev najnižji Crash frekvenco (0,14, ali dvakrat v 14 dirk) in vezana na vrsto vodi v ustreznost (konča znotraj zgornjo polovico polj) z 92.86 odstotkov prevzeti. Vse to, skupaj z njegovo uporabna proizvodnja, naredi svoje večje in boljše nadaljevanje mora-watch v letu 2013.
Kjer boste videli mu naslednje: Z Kyle Larson diplomi na Nationwide Series, Ortiz prevzame plašč, kot najsvetlejša možnost v stabilno Rev dirke za 2013 K & N vzhod sezona.
David Mayhew30, Atascadero, Kaliforniji
Na progi: NASCAR K & N Pro Series (torek)
2012 Uvrstit in priznanja: uvrščen 3. v K & N zahod (3.786 PEER)... K & N West točki seštevku peti kraja finišer, eno zmago
Analiza: To lahko traja dirka kot Battle for Mayhew pravilno pokažejo svoje sposobnosti. Na svoje dobre dneve, on je a krepak; je postavljen četrti v tovornjak serije PEER 2011 z 4.400 skozi pet dirk. 2012, čeprav je bil razočaranje; samo je dosegel eno zmago v K & N West in njegov omejiti pet-dirka v tovornjake, posejana z vprašanji, povzročilo zamenjavo ravni 0.200. On je sposoben narediti veliko stvari z dirkači-Iowa Speedway je vedno grand stage za njega-samo ne bomo dobili da ga vidim v svoji največji državi na dosledno.
Kjer boste videli mu naslednji: tovornjaki in K & N West so osebe Mayhew modus operandi. On bomo dirka, kadar in kjer je njegova ekipa lastnik, Steve McGowan, mu omogoča.
Derek trn26, Carmel, Kaliforniji
Na progi: NASCAR K & N Pro Series (torek)
2012 Uvrstit in priznanja: uvrščen 4. v K & N zahod (3.733 PEER)... K & N West point seštevku tretje mesto finišer, dva zmaga
Analiza: 2012 je Thorn je prvi polni sezoni K & N West dirke in za pozno Model Osuđenik na doživotnu je bil gizdalinski; povprečno 6,8 konča s svojo ekipo Bruncati Motorsports in registrirana četrti najboljši PEER v diviziji. On je dosegel dve zmagi (na Havasu in Sandia), vendar obstaja prostor za poliranje. Svoje agresivne narave lahko pustite winnable dirke na mizi in proti zahodni konkurence je treba bolj pogosto zmagali. Pri starosti 26 ima krajše okno kot najbolj obeti za pripravo za vse potencialne NASCAR premier delitev koncert.
Kjer boste videli mu naslednji: on še križarjenje v Bruncati Motorsports No. 6 kot eden na vrhu K & N West naslov kandidata te sezone.
C.E. Falk25, Virginia Beach, VA
Na progi: NASCAR Whelen All-American serije (ponedeljek)
2012 Uvrstit in priznanja: Virginia pozno Model Triple Crown serije prvak... 16 zmag čez pet dirkališčih; Whelen All-American finišer tretje mesto točk
Analiza: Če ste redno Truck serije race stražar, potem ste videli Falk je ime pomaknite na dnu TV-zaslona. On ni nazaj marker, čeprav. V actuality, on je najbolj okrašena mladi pozno Model Stock Car voznik v igri je danes z 52 zmaga kariere, tri skladbo prvenstvo (v Langley) in lani je Virginia Triple Crown. To je verjetno on bo spredaj ponedeljek zvečer, pa v stavke stopnje stisko, njegovi kratki hrabrost strani, da vidite.
Kjer boste videli mu naslednje: ali je lahko dirka v Nationwide ali tovornjaki bomo še videli, vendar je postavil za drugo vodijo v Whelen All-American serije crown v njegov družinski lasti pozno Model.
Ryan Preece22, Kensington, za Employee portal
Na progi: NASCAR Whelen spremenil Tour (torek)
2012 Uvrstit in priznanja: Whelen spremenil Tour točki seštevku runner-up; dve zmagi... 14 Serije All-American Whelen zmaga čez tri dirkališčih; finišer točk peto mesto
Analiza: Za serije 22-year-old runner-up, običajno, Svet je ostriga; vendar pa ostaja klanec bitko za Preece, zmagovalec dveh dirkah spremenil Tour in 14 Whelen All-American dirke v letu 2012. Plinovod od Modifieds do Sprint Cup je bil zaprt, ker Steve Park prepojena seriji pokala leta 1998, tako da vse ponovno bo izredni talent. Preece je še razvoju voznik in dejstvo, da je zmaga v šopke pero v svojo SKP je. Zmago pred nacionalno občinstvo bo dovolj prepričati ekipa ali sponzorja v ob interesa?
Kjer boste videli mu naslednji: Preece bo še naprej pilotni Modifieds čez Northeast, s svojo turnejo vožnjo pa ne. 16 vnos za Flamingo-motošportni in lastnik Eric Sanderson.

David Smith’s Eight Battle-Ready Prospects Motorsports Analytics Breaks Down Who To Watch
The Monday and Tuesday nights of Speedweeks were typically humdrum. Fresh off the Sprint Unlimited, a race that has quickly become a must-watch trial-by-fire event, our juices are flowing for more racing, more action and more talking points in what serves as the opening week of each new racing season. We crave racing and, until now, there has been nary a suitable course.
The UNOH Battle at the Beach changes all of this. The three-race showcase of three major regional series – the NASCAR K&N Pro Series (East and West), the NASCAR Whelen Modified and Whelen Southern Modified Tours and the NASCAR Whelen All-American Series – is an event that allows you to become familiar with some of the top prospects in the NASCAR developmental ladder. Color me a thrilled observer.
NASCAR has been gracious enough to ask me to contribute analyses for some of these up-and-coming racers. It’s sort of my thing. On my home site, MotorsportsAnalytics.com, I scout, crunch numbers, analyze and rank accordingly. The inaugural edition of the UNOH Battle at the Beach consists of several names on my Top 25 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series prospects list. I rank based on Cup Series preparedness, per a formula called “Prospect Score.” I also evaluate individual driver production through a metric called PEER, the Production in Equal Equipment Rating. Ever wondered how a driver would rate if all equipment was equal? Wonder no longer, because I’ve got you covered.
This particular list is comprised of what I deem “Battle Ready” prospects. These young drivers are your best potential race-win candidates for their individual Battle events. And if they don’t win the most-watched and comprehensively covered race of their careers to date, it’s okay. These guys have plenty of other accolades on which to fall back. Anything can happen with a one-race sample size; these drivers can be counted on to be successful over a full season:
Corey LaJoie, 21, Concord, N.C.
On Track: NASCAR K&N Pro Series (Tuesday)
2012 Rankings & Accolades: Ranked 1st in K&N East (4.607 PEER); 11th overall … K&N East point standings runner-up; five wins
Analysis: Either dressed to thrash on a racecar or to impress with his “customized” Chuck Taylor sneakers, LaJoie doesn’t conjure that of a heady racer, but, oh, that’d be a mistake. Arguably the best tire and equipment conserver in K&N East the last two last seasons, LaJoie was masterful, winning five races on a fraction of his competition’s budgets. His PEER – 4.607 – is the best in K&N East across the last two seasons, and better than Joey Logano’s mark from 2007 (4.462). He’s both a blue-collar worker and a racing savant whose effort to improve as a racer is of the Keselowski ilk.
Where You’ll See Him Next: LaJoie has a three to four-race schedule set with Tommy Baldwin Racing in the NASCAR Nationwide Series this year.
Kyle Larson, 20, Elk Grove, Calif.
On Track: NASCAR Whelen All-American Series (Monday); NASCAR K&N Pro Series and NASCAR Whelen Modified Tour (Tuesday)
2012 Rankings & Accolades: Ranked 2nd in K&N East (4.500 PEER); 12th overall … K&N East champion; two wins
Analysis: Out of everyone on this list, Larson has the most upside. He won the 2012 K&N East title in his first actual year of Stock Car racing, a feat that will undoubtedly become more underrated as his career achievements accumulate. To hop from Sprint Car to Midget to Late Model to Stock Car and have immediate success in each, like he does, isn’t a learned trait. He’s as naturally gifted as any driver since Tony Stewart. His limited NASCAR Camping World Truck Series races last year revealed some wrinkles that need to be ironed; his pace needs to simmer for elongated races – he’s used to dash-style Sprint Car features – and his pass setup could use some polishing, but with his talent, those are mere nits being picked. Soon, he’ll be on your television sets every Sunday for years to come.
Where You’ll See Him Next: The Earnhardt Ganassi Racing development driver will compete for Rookie of the Year honors in the Nationwide Series for Turner Scott Motorsports.
Dylan Kwasniewski, 17, Las Vegas, Nev.
On Track: NASCAR K&N Pro Series (Tuesday)
2012 Rankings & Accolades: Ranked 1st in K&N West (5.233 PEER), 16th overall … K&N West champion; three wins
Analysis: West Coast Stock Car fans wondered what it would take to derail the Greg Pursley six-win freight train of 2011 from its expected dominance in 2012. As it turns out, the answer was Kwasniewski, a talented teenager from the same Gene Price Motorsports stable as Pursley, who averaged a 3.8 finish in 15 races last season. Kwasniewski captured the K&N West crown in a campaign that showed significant improvement – from a 2.885 PEER that ranked 15th in the series in 2011 to last year’s 5.233 that led the division – and now, he’s headed east.
Where You’ll See Him Next: The Battle is his first race driving for Turner Scott Motorsports, the team for which he’ll be driving in the 2013 K&N East division.
Bryan Ortiz, 24, Bayamon, P.R.
On Track: NASCAR K&N Pro Series (Tuesday)
2012 Rankings & Accolades: Ranked 10th in K&N East (1.964 PEER), 40th overall … K&N East point standings fifth-place finisher
Analysis: It’s not this often a NASCAR neophyte is this good this soon. A former kart racer, Ortiz was a Grand-Am Sports Car competitor prior to joining the Stock Car ranks, in which, in his rookie season last year, he tied for the division’s lowest Crash Frequency (0.14, or twice in 14 races) and tied for the series lead in Relevance (finishes inside the top half of fields) with a 92.86 percent take. All of that, coupled with his serviceable production, makes his bigger and better sequel a must-watch in 2013.
Where You’ll See Him Next: With Kyle Larson graduating to the Nationwide Series, Ortiz assumes the mantle as the brightest prospect in the Rev Racing stable for the 2013 K&N East season.
David Mayhew, 30, Atascadero, Calif.
On Track: NASCAR K&N Pro Series (Tuesday)
2012 Rankings & Accolades: Ranked 3rd in K&N West (3.786 PEER) … K&N West point standings fifth-place finisher, one win
Analysis: It might take a race like The Battle for Mayhew to properly showcase his capabilities. On his good days, he’s a stalwart; he ranked fourth in Truck Series PEER in 2011 with a 4.400 through five races. 2012, though, was a disappointment; he only scored one victory in K&N West and his five-race stint in Trucks, riddled with issues, resulted in a replacement-level 0.200. He’s capable of doing great things with a racecar – Iowa Speedway is invariably a grand stage for him – we just don’t get to see him in his greatest state on a consistent basis.
Where You’ll See Him Next: Trucks and K&N West are Mayhew’s modus operandi. He’ll race wherever and whenever his team’s owner, Steve McGowan, will allow him.
Derek Thorn, 26, Lakeport, Calif.
On Track: NASCAR K&N Pro Series (Tuesday)
2012 Rankings & Accolades: Ranked 4th in K&N West (3.733 PEER) … K&N West point standings third-place finisher, two wins
Analysis: 2012 was Thorn’s first full season of K&N West racing and, for a Late Model lifer, it was a dandy; he averaged a 6.8 finish with his Bruncati Motorsports team and registered the fourth-best PEER in the division. He scored two wins (at Havasu and Sandia), but there’s room for polishing. His aggressive nature can leave winnable races on the table and against Western competition he should be more often victorious. At age 26, he has a shorter window than most prospects in which to prepare for any potential NASCAR premier division gig.
Where You’ll See Him Next: He’ll continue cruising in the Bruncati Motorsports No. 6 as one of the top K&N West title contenders this season.
C.E. Falk, 25, Virginia Beach, Va.
On Track: NASCAR Whelen All-American Series (Monday)
2012 Rankings & Accolades: Virginia Late Model Triple Crown Series champion … 16 wins across five racetracks; Whelen All-American third-place points finisher
Analysis: If you’re a regular Truck Series race watcher, then you’ve seen Falk’s name scroll across the bottom of your TV screen. He is not a back marker, though. In actuality, he is the most decorated young Late Model Stock Car driver in the game today with 52 career wins, three track championships (at Langley) and last year’s Virginia Triple Crown. It’s likely that he’ll be up front Monday night, but in the instance adversity strikes, his passing prowess is a site to behold.
Where You’ll See Him Next: Whether he is able to race in Nationwide or Trucks remains to be seen, but he’s set for another run at the Whelen All-American Series crown in his family-owned Late Model.
Ryan Preece, 22, Kensington, Conn.
On Track: NASCAR Whelen Modified Tour (Tuesday)
2012 Rankings & Accolades: Whelen Modified Tour point standings runner-up; two wins … 14 Whelen All-American Series wins across three racetracks; fifth-place points finisher
Analysis: For a 22-year-old series runner-up, usually, the world is an oyster; however, for Preece, a winner of two Modified Tour races and 14 Whelen All-American races in 2012, an uphill battle remains. The pipeline from Modifieds to Sprint Cup has been closed since Steve Park infiltrated the Cup Series in 1998, so any reopening will take extraordinary talent. Preece is a still a developing driver and the fact that he wins in bunches is a feather in his cap. Will winning in front of a national audience be enough to persuade a team or sponsor in taking interest?
Where You’ll See Him Next: Preece will continue to pilot Modifieds across the Northeast, with his Tour ride being the No. 16 entry for Flamingo Motorsports and owner Eric Sanderson.